question

What modulates our Sun? The majority of science work on the principle that the Sun is self modulating and each solar cycle is a product of a random number generator. There are others that suspect the Sun is modulated by the planets with a special emphasis on Uranus & Neptune. Thanks to Carl Smith who has recently left us we have new knowledge that significantly adds to Jose, Landscheidt & Charvàtovà's work.

Geoff Sharp

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Updated: 3 min 10 sec ago

West Australia has now had 6 years of falling sea levels

Wed, 07/26/2017 - 18:26

“Cannot find any rising sea levels in West Australia,” says reader Tom Harley.

In fact, sea levels have been falling for the past six years.

Harley checked out the official data for several coastal locations, including Wyndham, Broome, Port Hedland, Geraldton, Cocos Islands and Albany. Even Fremantle.

See entire article and more sea-level graphs.
https://pindanpost.com/2017/04/13/falling-sea-levels/

Thanks to Tom Harley for this info.

Harley describes himself as an “amateur ecologist and horticulturalist and CEO of Kimberley Environmental Horticulture Inc.”

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US Summers Getting Much Cooler

Wed, 07/26/2017 - 17:43

We’re being scammed.

“Every single metric shows that summer maximum temperatures are cooling in the US,” says Tony Heller. “Heatwaves are becoming shorter, less intense and covering a smaller area.”

We need to know the truth on this, because summer temperatures can greatly affect crop production. It took only two years of crop failures to bring on the Great Famine of 1315-17.

See entire article, along with more graphs:
https://realclimatescience.com/2017/07/us-summers-are-getting-much-cooler-2/

Thanks to Ron de Haan for this link
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Great Famine of 1315-17 Caused by Little Ice Age?

Wed, 07/26/2017 - 16:45

You don’t need a full-fledged ice age in order to kill millions of people. You just need a couple of years of crop failures brought on by severe winters and rainy, cold summers. A description of the Great Famine of 1315-17 from Wikipedia tells the story. Here are excerpts.
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Great Famine of 1315-17

“The Great Famine started with bad weather in spring 1315. Crop failures lasted through 1316 until the summer harvest in 1317, and Europe did not fully recover until 1322. The period was marked by extreme levels of crime, disease, mass death and even cannibalism and infanticide...

“For most people there was often not enough to eat, and life was a relatively short and brutal struggle to survive to old age… the average life expectancy during the Great Famine was 29.84 years… The figures do not necessarily mean the average lifespan of an adult, as child mortality was extremely high in pre-industrial societies.

“Population level at a historical high made it a time for little margin for error in food production.

May have been precipitated by a volcanic event

“The onset of the Great Famine coincided with the end of the Medieval Warm Period. Between 1310 and 1330, northern Europe saw some of the worst and most sustained periods of bad weather in the entire Middle Ages, characterized by severe winters and rainy and cold summers. The Great Famine may have been precipitated by a volcanic event, perhaps that of Mount Tarawera, New Zealand, which lasted about five years.

“In the spring of 1315, unusually heavy rain began in much of Europe. Throughout the spring and the summer, it continued to rain, and the temperature remained cool. Under such conditions, grain could not ripen, leading to widespread crop failures. Grain was brought indoors in urns and pots to keep dry. The straw and hay for the animals could not be cured, so there was no fodder for the livestock.

Food prices doubled, even tripled

“The price of food began to rise; prices in England doubled between spring and midsummer. Salt, the only way to cure and preserve meat, was difficult to obtain because brine could not be effectively evaporated in wet weather; its price increased from 30 shillings to 40 shillings. In Lorraine, wheat prices grew by 320% making bread unaffordable to peasants. Stores of grain for long-term emergencies were limited to royalty, lords, nobles, wealthy merchants and the Church.

“Because of the general increased population pressures, even lower-than-average harvests meant some people would go hungry; there was little margin for failure. People began to harvest wild edible roots, plants, grasses, nuts and bark in the forests.

“In the spring of 1316, it continued to rain on a European population deprived of energy and reserves to sustain itself. All segments of society from nobles to peasants were affected but especially the peasants, who represented 95% of the population and who had no reserve food supplies.

Children abandoned to fend for themselves

“To provide some measure of relief, the future was mortgaged by slaughtering the draft animals, eating the seed grain, abandoning children to fend for themselves (see “Hansel and Gretel“) and, among old people, voluntarily refusing food for the younger generation to survive. The chroniclers of the time noted many incidents of cannibalism.

“Historians debate the toll, but it is estimated that 10–25% of the population of many cities and towns died.”

See entire article:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Famine_of_1315%E2%80%9317

Thanks to Jimmy Walter for this link
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Sea levels are falling

Tue, 07/25/2017 - 14:28

That’s right, according NASA, sea levels are going DOWN! This is big news. How come the media hasn’t mentioned it?

________________________________

NASA satellite sea level observations for the past 24 years show that – on average – sea levels have been rising 3.4 millimeters per year. That’s 0.134 inches, about the thickness of a dime and a nickel stacked together, per year.

As I said, that’s the average. But when you focus in on 2016 and 2017, you get a different picture.

Sea levels fell in 2016, and with all of this winter’s record-breaking snowfall, I wouldn’t be surprised if they decline again this year.

I clicked and zoomed on the above chart as NASA suggested, and obtained a closeup screen shot of sea levels from Jan 2016 to March 2017. This clearly shows the decline.

See larger interactive graph:
https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/sea-level/

Thanks to Norman Grant Smith for this info
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Near record low temps in Boston – Video

Tue, 07/25/2017 - 13:32

Far, far below average – Feels like October, says meteorologist.

“Monday threatened some record cool readings across the region, and notched a ‘coldest high temp’ for the date in Providence, RI.,” says meteorologist Eric Fisher. “If timing had been a little different we would have had a shot at more records.”

See “Summer Takes A Vacation With Near-Record Chill”
http://boston.cbslocal.com/2017/07/24/summer-takes-a-vacation-with-near-record-chill/

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Cold records set in Nova Scotia and New Brunswick

Tue, 07/25/2017 - 11:37

Break records going back as far as 1871. That’s 146 years! 

NOVA SCOTIA

Issued by Environment Canada

The following station set a daily minimum temperature record on July 23, 2017:

Port Hawkesbury
New record of 5.5
Old record of 6.0 set in 1986
Records in this area have been kept since 1875

NEW BRUNSWICK

The following station set a daily minimum temperature record on July 22, 2017:

Edmundston
New record of 2.4
Old record of 2.7 set in 2013
Records in this area have been kept since 1914

The following stations set a daily minimum temperature record on
July 23, 2017:

Edmundston
New record of 1.3
Old record of 5.0 set in 1996
Records in this area have been kept since 1914

Grand Manan
New record of 5.5
Old record of 7.0 set in 1992
Records in this area have been kept since 1883

Kouchibouguac Nat’l Park
New record of 6.3
Old record of 7.0 set in 1979
Records in this area have been kept since 1924

Saint John
New record of 5.1
Old record of 6.3 set in 1992
Records in this area have been kept since 1871

Woodstock
New record of 3.3
Old record of 3.9 set in 1932
Records in this area have been kept since 1886

Thanks to K Cairns for this info
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Alaskan glacier advanced ‘faster than a running dog’

Mon, 07/24/2017 - 19:39

Pushed the Huna Tlingit* off their land.

“You should check out the Mendenhall Glacier in Alaska, where a forest existed more than 2000 years ago and the advancing glacier buried it, says reader Rosco Mac. “Now the glacier is retreating again and uncovering the stumps.”

“Man wasn’t responsible for the lack of ice back then !

“Climate ‘scientists’ are always “denying there was such a thing as a global Roman warm period yet Alaska – 7000 km from Europe shows warming at the same time !

http://juneauempire.com/outdoors/2013-09-13/ancient-trees-emerge-frozen-forest-tomb

Wow! The above article also says that in Glacier Bay, about 60 miles east of Juneau, researchers have found evidence of ice advances occurring more than 5,000 years ago.

A more recent glacial advance, between 1724 and 1794 A.D., pushed Huna Tlingit off their land, the article continues. Tlingit histories recorded by Richard and Nora Dauenhauer say that glacier was growing and advancing “faster than a running dog.”

“Today, the Taku Glacier is the only glacier of the 32 from the Juneau ice-field to be slowly advancing, pushing live cottonwoods out of the way.”

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Also see my article posted on 7 Aug 2014 entitled “4,000-year-old forests beneath receding glaciers prove that it was much warmer than today.”

That article tells about an ancient forest emerging from the ice in Switzerland, also proving that it was once much warmer than today.

Probably not too many SUVs back then.

https://www.iceagenow.info/4000-year-old-forests-beneath-receding-glaciers-prove-warmer-today/
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Note *
The Tlingit are an indigenous people of the Pacific Northwest Coast of North America according to Wikipedia. They have a matrilineal kinship system, with children considered born into the mother’s clan, and property and hereditary roles passing through the mother’s line.

I was lucky enough to view some of the Tlingit dances in Haines back when Carl Heinmiller was working with them.
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Snow in St Petersburg – Video

Mon, 07/24/2017 - 18:29
Russia, July 24, 2017: There will be no more heat.

After a hot and dry weekend, we are faced with another deterioration in the weather: downpours, thunderstorms and that’s it. But we have nothing else, in St. Petersburg there is snow. Yes. In July. Snow.

Temperatures remain below normal for this time of year.

https://news.tut.by/society/552571.html

https://www.instagram.com/p/BW2V6BqAxKU/?taken-by=himgirl

Snow in Saint Petersburg, July 23, 2017 video
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iCchecGtMfw

https://www.sott.net/article/357208-Snowballs-in-July-St-Petersburg-covered-with-piles-of-snow-after-heavy-hailstorm

Thanks to Argiris Diamantis and Don Brown for these links
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We may need tens of millions of greenhouses

Mon, 07/24/2017 - 18:17

“If indeed the next little ice age or big ice age is beginning, massive areas of land will become too cold for agriculture.” – Ray Kraft

________________________________________

We may need tens of millions of greenhouses

By Ray Kraft

Assuming that we are now in the transition from the warm Holocene interglacial to the next era of glacial advance, the next ice age, mini- or major, it is plausible to assume that we will need all the energy we can get from all sources including solar – wind – nuclear – to sustain an industrial / technological economy for the next few thousands or tens of thousands of years, since our supply of oil and gas is probably not enough to sustain current product for more than another 30-40 years according to British Petroleum.

The last ice age lasted about 75,000 years, and some anthropologists think the sustained severe cold reduced the human population to fewer than 10,000 people.

If indeed the next little ice age or big ice age is beginning, massive areas of land will become too cold for agriculture – like Russia, Ukraine, Canada – we can expect social, political, demographic disruptions like nothing experienced in all of human history before now.

If the next ice age is more or less like the last, vast areas of entire continents will become covered in glaciers and ice sheets, sea level will slowly fall by 400 feet or so, leaving most of the world’s seaports miles away from water.

We may need to build tens of millions of acres of heated greenhouses to feed North America.

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Costs of warming will fall more heavily on the poor, says The Economist

Mon, 07/24/2017 - 16:49

Endless Leftist/ Liberal propaganda fills almost all the pages of every issue.

________________________________________________

An article in this month’s The Economist complains that climate change (global warming) “will exacerbate inequality.”

Although the title of the article refers to “climate change” the words quickly switch to “rising temperatures” and “the costs of warming.”

The article refers to computer-generated models that (purportedly) show that “the pain of climate change will fall more heavily on America’s poorest bits than on its richest areas.”

It is an “insult and injury,” the article asserts. that “the costs of warming should be disproportionately borne by the poor.”  It is an “injustice” that the wealthy will be able to move in order to avoid climate-induced hardship.

Oh, it is also an insult and injury that the wealthy are “more effective at limiting the mobility of others.”

The article presents absolutely no – count em, zero! – facts showing that global warming is caused by humans … or even that global warming is actually occurring.

And watch how it wriggles out of its other assertions (emphasis added):

•  New research indicates that climate change will exacerbate inequality.

•  An increase in global temperature is very likely to reduce annual output.

•  A rise of 4°C would probably generate losses.

•  In richer New England and the Pacific north-west, agricultural yields may rise.

•  Climate change effects are uncertain.

•  Uncertainty around economic projections … could mean GDP losses of 40% or more.

•  The costs of global climate change will be …  uncertainly distributed,

•  The estimated economic loss from warming is almost certainly understated.

•  Climate change might well require broad migrations.

•  “After adjusting for the uncertainty of climate change … the economic damage caused by a global temperature rise of 3°C could be 1.5-3 times bigger than the unadjusted aggregate figures suggest.”

Who says there’s going to be a 3°C rise in temperature? Or a 4°C rise? Or even 1.5°C? Remember, these are computer models, not reality, computer guesses, programmed to spit out whatever results the operators want to achieve.

It would be interesting to see what their computer models would show if, instead of asking what damage would caused by a temperature rise of 3°C, they instead asked  what damage would caused by a temperature decline of 3°C.

See entire article (if you want to be bothered), entitled “Climate change and inequality.”

https://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21725009-rich-pollute-poor-suffer-climate-change-and-inequality

Thanks to Bob Mann for this link

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Snowfall in Chamonix, France – In July

Mon, 07/24/2017 - 11:35

28 cm (11 inches) of snow in the past 48 hours.

_____________________________

This skiing site’s most recent snow report indicates that 10cm of fresh snow fell on Chamonix on Saturday 22nd July 2017.

The weather forecast on French TV Saturday morning called for snow above 2000 metres in the Alps.

Fresh Snow was reported by 2 French Ski Resorts, including Chamonix and Vars.

Snow Reports and Snow Forecasts for France covering the period from Monday 24th July 2017 show 28 cm of snow fell in Chamonix and 27 cm in Argentière in the past 48 hours.

https://www.j2ski.com/snow_forecast/France/Chamonix_snow_report.html

Thanks to Ben Vorlich for this link

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No Arctic summer this year

Sun, 07/23/2017 - 19:08

How much ice will melt, I wonder, at minus 33 degrees?

_____________________________________

Tony Heller calls it “The Year Without An Arctic Summer.”

“The Greenland Ice Sheet is gaining near record amounts of ice this year,” says Heller. Temperatures on the Greenland Ice Sheet have been extremely cold, and broke the all-time record for Northern Hemisphere July cold on July 4, at -33C. (-27.4F)”

Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget: DMI

“Despite all evidence to the contrary, government scientists insist on believing fake GRACE data which shows almost all of Greenland losing ice,” says Heller. “These are criminals, not scientists.”

How much ice will melt, I wonder, at minus 33 degrees?

https://realclimatescience.com/2017/07/the-year-without-an-arctic-summer/

Thanks to Ron de Haan for this link

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Tesla battery, subsidy and sustainability fantasies

Sun, 07/23/2017 - 18:43

“How much must we subsidize our wealthiest families, to save us from manmade planetary disasters that exist only in Al Gore movies and alarmist computer models?” – Paul Driessen

“Tesla sales have plummeted to near zero in Hong Kong and Denmark, as generous subsidies evaporated. Its $7,500-per-car federal rebate (taxpayer subsidy) is about to start its death spiral. So California is halfway toward enacting legislation that would provide $3 billion in state point-of-sale rebates: as much as $30,000 or even $40,000 per car. The legislature apparently wants to continue ensuring that all families help perpetuate programs that thus far have transferred 90% of all electric car subsidies to the wealthiest 20% of families.

“Meanwhile, ardent renewable energy aficionados insist that the key to a wind and solar future is battery backup systems … which are just around the corner. Not so fast, says technology guru Mark Mills. Storing 12 hours worth of household and business electricity demand per day, plus charging up 1.4 billion currently gasoline-powered vehicles, would require 1,250 years of production from every existing lithium battery factory worldwide. It’s not going to happen, he says. And that’s just the beginning of the subsidy and sustainability fantasies we must deal with.”

________________________________

Tesla battery, subsidy and sustainability fantasies    

More subsidies from exhausted California taxpayers cannot compensate for hard realities

By Paul Driessen

The first justification was that internal combustion engines polluted too much. But emissions steadily declined, and today’s cars emit about 3% of what their predecessors did. Then it was oil imports: electric vehicles (EVs) would reduce foreign dependency and balance of trade deficits. Bountiful oil and natural gas supplies from America’s hydraulic fracturing revolution finally eliminated that as an argument.

Now the focus is on climate change. Every EV sale will help prevent assumed and asserted manmade temperature, climate and weather disasters, we’re told – even if their total sales represented less than 1% of all U.S. car and light truck sales in 2016 (Tesla sold 47,184 of the 17,557,955 vehicles sold nationwide last year), and plug-in EVs account for barely 0.15% of 1.4 billion vehicles on the road worldwide.

In recent months, Tesla sales plunged to nearly zero in Hong Kong and Denmark, as huge government subsidies were eliminated. Now Tesla’s U.S. subsidies face extinction. Once its cumulative sales since 2009 reach 200,000 vehicles in the next few months, federal tax rebates will plunge from $7,500 per car to zero over an 18-month period. The same thing will happen to other EV companies that reach 200,000.

Hundreds of millions in taxpayer subsidies

Subsidies clearly drive sales for EVs, which are often double the cost of comparable gasoline-powered vehicles. Free charging stations, and access to HOV lanes for plug-ins with only the driver, further sweeten the deal. For those who can afford the entry fee, the ride is smooth indeed. In fact, a 2015 study found, the richest 20% of Americans received 90% of hundreds of millions in taxpayer EV subsidies.

Where were all the government “offices of environmental justice” when this was happening? How much must we subsidize our wealthiest families, to save us from manmade planetary disasters that exist only in Al Gore movies and alarmist computer models?

Perhaps recognizing the reverse Robin Hood injustice – or how unsustainable free EV stations are for cash-strapped cities – Palo Alto (where Tesla Motors is headquartered) announced that it will charge 23 cents per kWh to charge plug-in vehicles in city parking garages. Others communities and states may also reduce their rebates, HOV access and free charging, further reducing incentives to purchase pricey EVs.

Meanwhile, Lyft and Uber are also decreasing the justification for shelling out $35,000 to $115,000 or even $980,000 for an electric car that gets very limited mileage per charge. Long excursions still need internal combustion engines or long layovers every few hundred miles to recharge EV batteries.

Poor, minority and working class families hit hardest

Intent on advancing its renewable energy and climate change agenda, the California legislature recently enacted a new cap-and-trade law that will generate revenues for Tesla and the “bullet train to nowhere,” by increasing hidden taxes on motor fuels, electricity and consumer products – with the state’s poor, minority and working class families again being hit hardest. State legislators are also close to passing a $3-billion EV subsidy program, primarily to replace the $7,500 federal rebate that Tesla could soon lose. Electric vehicle buyers could soon receive up to $40,000 for buying Tesla’s most expensive models! Coal-billionaire and California gubernatorial hopeful Tom Steyer vigorously supports the new subsidy.

Lobbyists far more important to bottom lines than engineers

We can also expect a battle royale over extending the federal EV subsidy beyond 200,000 vehicles – demonstrating once again that lobbyists are now far more important to bottom lines than engineers, especially when lobbyists can channel enormous contributions to politicians’ reelection campaigns.

As U.S. government agencies prepare to reassess climate change science, models and disaster predictions, it’s a good time to reexamine claims made about all the utopian electric vehicle and renewable energy forecasts, expanding on the land and raw material issues I raised in a previous article.

This is deranged

In his Forbes article on Battery Derangement Syndrome, energy and technology analyst Mark P. Mills notes that Tesla is also getting $1 billion in taxpayer subsidies to build a huge $5-billion lithium battery factory in Nevada. Batteries, it’s often claimed, can soon replace fossil fuels for backing up expensive, intermittent, unreliable, unpredictable wind and solar power. Mills explains why this is … deranged.

In an entire year, all the existing lithium battery factories in the world combined manufacture only enough capacity to store 100 billion Watt-hours (Wh) of electricity. But the USA alone uses 100 times this capacity: more than 10,000 billion Wh per day. Worldwide, humanity uses over 50,000 billion Wh daily.

Focusing on solar power, Mills notes, that means storing electricity for 12 hours a day – to power homes and businesses around the globe for the 12 hours per day that photovoltaic systems will generate power on sunny days in the 100% solar world of the utopian future – would require 25,000 billion Watt-hours of battery power (ignoring future electricity needs to recharge electric vehicle batteries).

Replacing the gasoline in the tanks of 1.4 billion vehicles worldwide with electric power would require another 100,000 billion Watt-hours. That brings total global demand to well over 125,000 billion Wh of storage. That means it would take 1,250 years of production from every existing lithium battery factory worldwide to meet this combined demand. Or we would have to build 1,250 times more factories. Or we could build batteries that are 10 to 100 times more powerful and efficient than what we have today.

Says Mills, the constraints of real world physics on battery storage mean this latter option will not happen.

Fundamentally absurd

In a world where we are also supposed to ban nuclear (and most hydroelectric) power, the very notion of eliminating the 80% of all global energy that comes from oil, natural gas and coal – replacing it with wind, solar and biofuel power – is fundamentally absurd. Can you imagine what would happen when the power goes off and on repeatedly while we are smelting iron, copper, aluminum, cobalt or lithium ores … forging or casting metals into components … or running complex fabrication and assembly lines?

In the sustainability arena, has anyone calculated how much lithium, cobalt and other metals would be required to manufacture all those batteries? Where they would be mined – with nearly all the best U.S. metal prospects off limits to exploration and production, and radical environmentalists increasingly rallying to block mining projects overseas? The mines would have to be enormous, and operated by huge corporate consortiums. Will anti-corporate activists on our campuses suddenly have a change of heart?

Will homes, neighborhoods and communities have the electrical service (200 amperes or more per home) to handle all the lighting, computing, entertainment, air conditioning, medical equipment and other requirements of modern living – AND the power required to charge all the predicted electric vehicles? What will it cost to upgrade neighborhood power grids, and home and commercial electrical systems?

Lithium batteries and their component metals pose unique fire and explosion risks. What safeguards will be established to minimize those dangers, in battery factories, homes and public parking garages?

Some factories and batteries will invariably be poorly built, handled or maintained. Some will invariably malfunction – causing potentially catastrophic explosions. The bigger the factory or battery, the bigger the cataclysm. Will we apply the same precautionary principles to them as more rabid environmentalists insist on applying to drilling, fracking, pipelines, refineries, factories, dams and nuclear power plants?

What is the life expectancy of batteries, compared to engines in gasoline-powered cars? Two or three times shorter? What does it cost to replace battery packs compared to engines? Two to three times as much? What is the true overall cost of owning an EV? Four to six times higher than a gasoline car? How will we dispose of or recycle millions or billions of batteries and their dangerous, toxic components?

Is the real goal to slash living standards?

Is the real goal of all this crony-corporatist wind, solar and battery enthusiasm – and anti-fossil fuel activism – to slash living standards in industrialized nations, and ensure that impoverished nations are able to improve their health and living conditions only marginally?

We would do well to raise – and answer – these and other essential questions now, before we let activists, journalists, legislators and regulators con us into adopting more of their utopian, “planet-saving” ideas.

Paul Driessen is senior policy analyst for the Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow (www.CFACT.org) and author of Eco-Imperialism: Green power – Black death.

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Argentina – Red alert for intense snowfall in Chubut

Sun, 07/23/2017 - 18:18

22 July 2017 – Up to 75 cm ( 30 inches) of snow.
_____________________________________________

The weather alert is for the central and western areas of Chubut and northeast of Santa Cruz due to intense snowfall this weekend.

The alert reaches also to the west of Neuquén and center and south of Rio Negro. According to the National Weather Service, up until at least Thursday the 27th, “during this whole period the area between 15 and 60 centimeters of snow is expected to accumulate, being able to reach in a specific way 75 centimeters”.

http://www.adnsur.com.ar/2017/07/rige-alerta-chubut-esperan-15-75-centimetros-nieve/

Thanks to Argiris Diamantis for this link

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Moscow hit bt snow, rain and hail

Sat, 07/22/2017 - 14:03

21 July 2017 – The Emergency Situations Ministry extended an emergency warning including the collapse of trees, damage to power transmission lines, damage to the roofs of houses and unstable structures.

The department asked everyone to be cautious: if possible, wait out the bad weather inside, and if already out on the roads to beware of billboards and shaky structures. Also advised not to park cars under trees and billboards.

http://morning-news.ru/2017/07/na-stolicu-rossiyskoy-federacii-obrushilis-dozhd-sneg-i-grad/

Thanks to Argiris Diamantis for this link

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Two dead because power outage in Santiago

Sat, 07/22/2017 - 13:55

People have seen their lives altered by the power cut after the huge snowfalls in the capital a few days ago.

______________________

As of now  we know of 2 people dead because the shortages, says reader. the electric company (Enel Distribution) begin registering  of people “electro-dependent”(?)

Seven days later, and still some people don’t have power supply.. 3 electrical campanies are still working in that (after 1 week!)

http://www.chvnoticias.cl/nacional/nueva-victima-faltal-por-cortes-de-luz-en-el-gran-santiago/2017-07-20/071721.html

https://twitter.com/enelclientescl/status/888053589826056193

Thanks to Ivan for these links

See also:
Heaviest snowfall in Santiago in 46 years
https://www.iceagenow.info/confirmed-heaviest-snowfall-santiago-46-years/

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A Keynote Address to Forget

Sat, 07/22/2017 - 11:00

“Hogwash.” “Totally unscientific.” “Pure bunk.” “Another figment of imagination.”

__________________________

A Keynote Address to Forget

By Dr. Klaus L.E. Kaiser

Dr Steven Chu – Official DOE portrait
On June 25, 2017, Dr. Steven Chu’s keynote address to the attendees of the 2017 Lindau Nobel Laureate Meeting was presented by his colleague, Dr. W. Moerner. The written text of the speech can be downloaded from the References at my book website (Keynote-Steven-Chu-LiNo17-25-June-2017.pdf, file size 107703 bytes).

Of course, a keynote address to any gathering of importance is normally a speech that covers a wide ground, ranging from past findings to future (not necessarily futuristic) ideas, fields that ought to receive more research interest, potential developments and so forth.

The Lindau Nobel Laureate Meetings

This year’s meeting was attended by only 28 laureates while in the recent past their number was mostly greater than 60. Of those 28, only 11 were awarded a Nobel Prize in the last 10 years. One may rightly conclude that the annual Lindau Nobel Laureate Meetings, held for 67 years now, appear to be in decline. From my perspective, there is a valid reason for the declining interest in these “expenses-paid-vacations” – especially for Nobel Prize Laureates. This became already quite apparent in 2015, when nearly half of the attending laureates did not sign that year’s final communique, the Mainau 2015 Declaration.

As I surmise, the reason for their disinterest or refusal to sign was that the meetings have become “hijacked” by political interests. And this year’s keynote address by Dr. Chu proves my point. His presentation was relishing in past accomplishments with a guidance dedicated to (former) political expediency on the subject of “climate change.” There are not just numerous factual errors in Chu’s address, to me it sounds like something that might have been written about ten years ago. Needless to say, I felt compelled to send a message to Dr. Chu, outlining my misgivings. It is reproduced (minus salutations) below:

July 12, 2017

I read with interest your recent keynote address to the 2017 Lindau Nobel Laureate Meeting, as available at http://www.lindau-nobel.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/Keynote-Steven-Chu-LiNo17-25-June-2017.pdf .

Please let me begin with wishing your wife a speedy recovery from her unfortunate fall.

In terms of the guidance to the world that many people expect from a keynote address to dozens of Nobel Laureates, with many guests and students attending, permit me to express some concerns and questions to you.

Already the title/subject of your presentation “Science as an Insurance Policy to the Risks of Climate Change” is misleading. The “climate” is a construct that is arrived at after multi-decadal observations for a particular region on earth. Due to the inclination of the earth on the ecliptic, it also varies strongly with the latitude. Then, there are many natural forces that influence this “climate”, including the sun’s radiation, volcanic events on earth, etc.  None of these can be influenced or controlled by mankind. All the 100+ current “climate models” do not – and likely never will – be able to incorporate the phenomenal quantities of water that are being precipitated and re-evaporated from the earth’s surface each year.

However, even if I were wrong in that, climate change is nothing new and you have correctly mentioned the six ice ages over the last 600,000 years. What you have NOT mentioned though is, that the great North American and Eurasian ice shields of 20,000 years ago melted away without mankind’s influence and without any great change in atmospheric carbon dioxide levels.

That alone makes your idea of “science as an insurance policy” worthless, at least in the traditional sense of a fire insurance (your example). The premiums paid for such insurance policies are not to prevent fires, nor to dowse any fires (firefighting is paid for with property taxes and the like), but to cover any material losses.

Then you claim that “the Arctic and Antarctic polar ice caps and the Glaciers in Greenland and Antarctica are melting much faster than was predicted 10 years ago.” I sure wonder where you got that information. The facts are substantially different:

The Antarctic ice cap has been increasing in recent years, both in mass and extent ( https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/nasa-study-mass-gains-of-antarctic-ice-sheet-greater-than-losses ).

The ice cap of Greenland has seen rapid growth in mass, for example see the latest graph by the Danish Met. Inst. ( http://media.breitbart.com/media/2017/07/Image1408_shadow.png ).

The “polar” sea-ice in the Arctic (there is no true “ice cap” in the Arctic as there is no land mass above the sea level anywhere near the North Pole) has been quite stable. Of course the latter fluctuates tremendously with the seasons, roughly between 4 and 14 million square kilometres in extent alone, and in terms of ice volume, the seasonal fluctuation is approximately fivefold, between 5,000 and 25,000 km^3 ice. Clearly then, your statements about the disappearing polar ice masses are wrong.

Therefore, also your next paragraph where you say “Even if we stopped all greenhouse gas emissions, the full extent of the damage we have already done will not be seen for 100 years” is equally hogwash. Apart from the fact that the whole “carbon-pollution” [past U.S. President Obama’s preferred phrase for CO2] = “greenhouse gas” theory is based on misunderstandings and false models. However, even if it were not, what exactly is the “damage we have done?” Are you referring to many formerly arid areas now greening due to higher CO2 levels in the atmosphere and irrigation? Both have helped to feed the rapidly growing world population that rose since the year 1900 from ~1.6 billion to the current ~7.5 billion, a factor of ~5. In contrast, the CO2 levels only increased by approximately 1/3rd during that period.

Your presentation to the 2017 Lindau Nobel Laureate Meeting contains a number of other highly questionable statements. For example, you say that “There is a real danger that rising seas or collapsing agriculture due to heat and drought will lead to massive climate-induced migrations.” Perhaps you ought to read my recent post on “Turtles and Reality“, published at several sites (e.g.,  https://www.iceagenow.info/turtles-and-reality/ ) and also translated and published in Italian. This claimed “one meter sea level rise is possible by the end of this century, and 4-5 m rise by 2200” is another figment of imagination.

The same holds true for “the specter of non-linear ‘tipping points’ that cause more severe changes.” The theory of climatic “tipping points” has been strongly pushed by Dr. S. Rahmstorf, PIK, in the past. As I wrote in 2015, “… the entire climate tipping point theory is pure bunk” ( http://canadafreepress.com/article/the-myth-of-climate-tipping-points ).

Just one more point that I consider totally unscientific: You state “There are numerous people and politicians who enjoy the benefits of scientific discovery, but do not accept the compelling scientific evidence and overwhelming scientific consensus [my emphasis] that humans are changing our climate.” I find this statement of yours deplorable. Science has never been and will never be something where “consensus” is relevant. In fact, there were times when the “consensus” was that the sun moved around the earth and other ideas that have been proven false since.

One can only hope that you reconsider your statement and amend your keynote speech text accordingly. Otherwise, you are doing science a great disfavour and besmirch the reputation of your esteemed colleagues.

As of this date, Dr. Chu has neither acknowledged nor replied to my letter. I’ll certainly let you know if or when I have the honor of receiving any such – more likely than not NEVER.

Of course, I could only conclude that this keynote is not worth “the paper it’s written on.”

_________________________________________________

Dr. Klaus L.E. Kaiser is a professional scientist with a Ph.D. in chemistry from the Technical University, Munich, Germany. He has worked as a research scientist and project chief at Environment Canada‘s Canada Centre for Inland Waters for over 30 years and is currently Director of Research at TerraBase Inc. He is author of nearly 300 publications in scientific journals, government and agency reports, books, computer programs, trade magazines, and newspaper articles.

Dr. Kaiser has been president of the International Association for Great Lakes Research, a peer reviewer of numerous scientific papers for several journals, Editor-in-Chief of the Water Quality Research Journal of Canada for nearly a decade, and an adjunct professor. He has contributed to a variety of scientific projects and reports and has made many presentations at national and international conferences.

Dr. Kaiser is author of CONVENIENT MYTHS, the green revolution – perceptions, politics, and facts
convenientmyths.com

Dr. Kaiser can be reached at: mail@convenientmyths.com

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Brazil freezes – Temps plummet to minus 8 degrees C

Fri, 07/21/2017 - 17:24

“Global ‘Warming’ has arrived,” says reader Martin Siebert. “Minus 8,8°C in SC-highlands.”

_______________________________________

19 July 2017 – The intense cold that entered Brazil on Monday, July 17, caused extremely low temperatures in the South Region. For the second consecutive day was extreme cold.

All states recorded temperatures below freezing. The lowest temperature in Brazil on July 19 was negative 8.8 ° C in Bom Jardim da Serra followed with 7.5 ° C below zero In Urupema.

The temperature was also below zero in Greater Curitiba.

https://www.climatempo.com.br/noticia/2017/07/19/sul-congela-com-temperatura-de-ate-7-5dc-negativos-6654

Table with the lowest temperatures registered.
http://ciram.epagri.sc.gov.br/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=2785:manha-de-domingo-tem-temperatura-abaixo-de-zero-em-sc&catid=26:notas-meteorologicas&Itemid=10199999

At home:
http://www.simepar.br/site/fragmentos/palavra/imagens/29711.png

Thanks to Martin Siebert for these links

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Cold sweeps Southern Hemisphere – Huge crop losses – Video

Fri, 07/21/2017 - 17:10

Record cold across South America decimating crops. Hundreds of thousands lose power.

Early estimations of crop losses nearly 100% for fruit in Southern Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay. Where is the coverage on this in the main stream media?????????

It was -8C in areas where average temperatures for this time of year are 17C.

https://www.sott.net/article/357048-Cold-sweeps-the-Southern-Hemisphere-major-crop-damage

Thanks to Don Brown for this link

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Greenland is gaining ice and snow cover

Fri, 07/21/2017 - 14:07

Look at these graphs from the Danish Meteorological Institute. Ice growth is far above normal.

Greenland Ice Mass – 21 July 2017

http://www.dmi.dk/en/groenland/maalinger/greenland-ice-sheet-surface-mass-budget/

Thanks to Don Brown for this link

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