question

What modulates our Sun? The majority of science work on the principle that the Sun is self modulating and each solar cycle is a product of a random number generator. There are others that suspect the Sun is modulated by the planets with a special emphasis on Uranus & Neptune. Thanks to Carl Smith who has recently left us we have new knowledge that significantly adds to Jose, Landscheidt & Charvàtovà's work.

Geoff Sharp

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Updated: 19 min 54 sec ago

Trump Disbands Federal Climate Change Panel

Tue, 08/29/2017 - 12:25

The President is keeping his campaign promises.

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The Trump administration allowed the charter for the advisory panel for the Sustained National Climate Assessment to expire on August 20.

The group’s mission was to help policymakers and private-sector officials incorporate climate analysis into their planning, according to the Washington Post.

This is a welcome continuation of Trump’s efforts to rein in bureaucratic overreach. Just last week, he signed an executive order reversing an Obama-era requirement that government agencies take sea-level rise into account when building federal infrastructure.

Three cheers for the President.

http://theslot.jezebel.com/trump-disbands-federal-panel-to-fight-climate-change-1798141851

Thanks to Stephen Bird for this link

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Yakutia hit by rare summer blizzard.

Mon, 08/28/2017 - 14:59

A white blanket covered the northwestern regions after abnormal snowfall in Yakutia.

The heavy snowfall manifested itself most clearly in Mirninsky and temperature in the region decreased significantly.

The rare summer blizzard covered Yakutia on Saturday night.

The blizzards still continue now.

Heavy snowfalls in late summer, even to the northwest of Yakutia, are rare. Although similar Arctic invasions have previously occurred, the amount of snowfall “was noticeably lower.”

http://www.meteo-tv.ru/news/Kommentarii-sinoptika/V-YAkutii-v-kontse-leta-proshli-snegopady/

Thanks to Martin Siebert for this link


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Callous CALAS activists against the poor

Mon, 08/28/2017 - 08:15

Trampling on Guatemalan workers

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“People have been leaving Guatemala and heading to the United States for years, because this poor Central American country has too few good jobs,” says Paul Driessen. “So after Tahoe Resources bought the mine in 2010 and created 7,600 direct and indirect jobs, a radical anti-mining cabal led by Oxfam America naturally launched an often-nasty campaign to shut it down … and send the families back into joblessness and poverty.

“They didn’t even claim mining operations posed unacceptable health and environmental risks. They claimed the mine owners violated local people’s and indigenous groups’ human rights – by failing to consult adequately with a tribe that lives miles away from the mine. CALAS is their local front group. But the real powers, strategists and funding sources are Oxfam , the Moriah Fund, Fund for Global Human Rights, European Union … and United Nations Voluntary Fund for Victims of Torture! So now failure to consult is torture! This unbelievable story needs to be told.”

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Callous CALAS activists against the poor

Anti-mining groups “protect” local tribe against phony risks by trampling on Guatemalan workers

By Paul Driessen

Not long ago, supposed “environmental justice” concerns at least involved risks to mine workers and their families. The risks may have been inflated, or ignored for decades, but they were a major focus.

In one case, a state-run mine and smelter had fouled the air, land and water with toxic contaminants in a Peruvian town for 75 years. Environmental groups raised few objections – until a U.S. company bought the properties and began installing modern pollution controls, implementing worker health and safety practices, cleaning up widespread lead dust, and initiating numerous community improvement projects.

Thousands of workers left jobless

Suddenly, anti-mine activists descended on the town. They blamed the company for decades of pollution, claimed corporate officials weren’t acting quickly enough, ignored government foot-dragging on its commitments, pressured banks into cutting off loans to the company, and eventually shut everything down. Thousands of workers were left jobless. The activists and news media celebrated their victory.

Today, mining operations in Guatemala have become ground zero for campaigns in which pollution and human health are largely irrelevant, “indigenous people” are the new politically favored “victims” of multinational mining companies, rigged “consultation processes” have become the tactic du jour, and mine workers are among the new “oppressors,” whose health and living standards are now irrelevant.

Not only do radical “keep it in the ground” protesters pay little attention to where essential raw materials come from, so long as their favorite tech toys magically appear in retail outlets. They almost flaunt their callous disregard for families that had been dirt poor before a modern mine brought jobs and comparative prosperity – and will be destitute again after the outside agitators have shut the mine down and moved on to their next target. A case in point is the Escobal silver mine near San Rafael las Flores, Guatemala.

Since buying the mine in 2010, owner and operator Canada-based Tahoe Resources has invested more than $1 billion into the mine’s operation and related infrastructures– plus another $10 million upgrading hospitals and schools, planting 32,000 trees, and launching vocational, entrepreneurship, health, nutrition and other programs. More than 1,600 mining jobs and 6,000 indirect jobs brought many millions of dollars in salaries to the region. Locals launched over 100 new businesses. Life was getting better.

Company officials say the mine is designed and operated to meet the highest Guatemalan and Canadian health and environmental standards, and there has been no evidence of air or water pollution during Tahoe’s tenure. Anti-mining activists nonetheless launched campaigns against it as soon as it was licensed.

Incessant protests and confrontations, arson incidents, forcible detention of miners and police by activists, and assorted legal actions fueled tensions. The agitators are determined to prosecute Tahoe in multiple courts, persuade banks not to extend further credit to the company, send its stock values plummeting, and block Escobal mining operations permanently.

Without these jobs, we will be poor again.

What will we do if they shut the mine down? locals ask. Without these jobs, we will be poor again. Our businesses will close, our children will have no future, and people will have to go to the United States for work – just like before the mine created jobs that brought workers back to the area.

The agitators’ newest tactic is to enlist indigenous tribes, claim companies failed to consult adequately with the tribes under Guatemala’s community consultation and plebiscite “consultas” process, use ballot initiatives to claim people around the area overwhelmingly oppose the mine – and rage that the local people’s and indigenous groups’ human rights have been violated, in gross miscarriages of justice.

Blatant dishonesty

The blatant dishonesty of this process is underscored by the fact that every consultas held between 2011 and 2016 resulted in 93to 100 percent opposition to mining. Indeed, the process was cleverly designed and then hijacked, manipulated and rigged by outside activists and their local allies to foment opposition to mining activity and eliminate mine-dependent jobs, rather than assess true community sentiment.

Banners depicted a sample ballot marked “NO” and proclaim that shutting down mining is “necessary for life.” Ballots were explicitly worded to solicit negative responses. Even worse, many ballots highlighted the “No” vote in yellow, suggesting to voters it was the “correct” answer. The dishonesty is even deeper.

Community meetings held before the vote were little more than disinformation and agitprop sessions, designed to advance the anti-mining sentiments of activists from wealthy nations. Mine owners, foremen, environmental directors, community development coordinators, even workers and their families were not invited or permitted to participate. They could not correct misinformation; ask or respond to questions; explain health, safety and environmental safeguards; discuss economic, employment, living standards and other benefits to the community; or otherwise ensure fair, balanced, complete and open discussions.

Threats and intimidation

Workers and others who wanted to speak out at other times were greeted with threats and intimidation.

The deck was stacked. The well-funded and coordinated agitators behind the consultas had no interest in ensuring that local people were actually consulted and given opportunities to learn the facts. Their goal was and is to block mining projects, regardless of how many jobs would be created, living standards improved, and health, safety and environmental safeguards implemented by mining operators.

Can anyone recall a case where activists ultimately supported a mining project, following consultations or improved mining practices? I did not see it happen in Peru, and it is not happening in Guatemala. The agitators simply change the issues, ramp up their demands and move the goal posts.

The anti-mining agitators do not care whether a consultation process is fair, open and complete; that a mine would be safe and non-polluting; or that it would ensure good jobs and improved schools, hospitals, homes, living standards and opportunities for thousands. They simply do not want mines in any targeted area, anytime or under any conditions.

Their current ploy is to say that Guatemala’s Ministry of Mines did not consult adequately with Xinca tribal groups that live miles from the mine, before it issued the mining license. The Guatemalan courts agreed with the activists – and shut down operations.

7,600 workers would be left jobless

If the closure becomes permanent, 7,600 workers would be left jobless and their families destitute. Their growing anger, frustration, hopelessness and sense of betrayal are reaching a boiling point. Several miners recently went on a hunger strike, to protest what the activists and courts have done. Will Guatemalan, Canadian, U.S. and international jurists, legislators, journalists and real human rights advocates pay any attention? Call for social and environmental justice? Time will tell. But don’t hold your breath.

The entire operation was orchestrated by several local pressure groups, led by CALAS – the Centro de Acción Legal Ambiental y Social de Guatemala: Guatemalan Center for Environmental and Social Legal Action. However, the real organizing, money and strategizing came from far outside the country.

The real power behind the throne has been Oxfam America, joined by a cabal of likeminded American, Canadian and European pressure groups, all of which masquerade as “civil society” and “environmental justice” organizations – and their financial backers. Together, they have poured millions of dollars into the anti-mining, anti-worker, Keep the Poor Impoverished campaigns.

From 2009 to 2015, Oxfam pumped over $9 million annually into its Central America/Caribbean programs. The New-York based Moriah Fund contributed nearly $15 million over a ten-year period to these and other international NGOs, while the Fund for Global Human Rights added over $3 million.

Unbelievably, the European Union contributed more than $17 million to Guatemalan pressure groups between 2007 and 2011! And to top it off, the United Nations Voluntary Fund for Victims of Torture is another major sponsor – using U.S. tax-dollar donations to the UN. How the heck did “failure to consult” become “torture” – akin to what the SS, KGB, ISIS and other criminal outfits routinely engage in?

For callous CALAS and its allied pressure groups and despicable benefactors to violate the human rights of so many Guatemalan working class families is bad enough. Do the courts really have to pile on?

Paul Driessen is senior policy analyst for the Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow (www.CFACT.org), and author of Eco-Imperialism: Green power – Black death and other books on the environment. A new updated Spanish eBook translation of Eco-Imperialism will be available by September 1. (August 2017)

 

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Snowfall in Siberia – In August

Sun, 08/27/2017 - 13:52

“The temperature background is rapidly falling” in northern Siberia, with frost and snow expected. Arctic air will come from Taimyr, pass through the Krasnoyarsk Territory and further to the north of the Irkutsk region. The temperature will drop to 0 – minus 5 degrees at night.

“The area of ​​frosts will cover the whole territory of Taimyr, most of the Krasnoyarsk Territory and up to the Upper Verkhnevye, and everywhere there are local snow charges,” said an employee of Phobos.

Experts say frost and snow in late August are common in the Arctic part of the region.

http://tass.ru/v-strane/4507061

Thanks to Argiris Diamantis for this link

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France – Worst wine grape harvest since 1945

Sat, 08/26/2017 - 18:08

“Mainly attributable to the severe spring frost.” Wine harvest in Switzerland, Austria, Germany and Hungary also in trouble.

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“At harvests everywhere, in places where we thought there would be a little less, there’s a lot less,”said Jérôme Despey, head of a governmental wine advisory board.

This year’s harvest will be the smallest since 1945, said Despey. He expects a 40% drop in output in the prime wine-growing region of Bordeaux, the country’s largest.

This year’s drop in production is “mainly attributable to the severe spring frost that affected all the wine-growing regions to varying degrees at a sensitive time for the vine”, the agriculture ministry said.

This comes after last year’s devastating harvest,  one of the poorest in 30 years., which was “mostly due to the springtime frost” that hit the Champagne, Bourgogne (Burgundy) and Loire Valley regions, and the lack of rain further south near the Mediterranean.

Devastating freezes two years in a row. Let’s hope this is not the beginning of a trend.

Switzerland, Austria, Germany and Hungary also experienced frost this year, which could diminish harvests by 30% – even up to 60% in some areas.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/aug/25/france-faces-worst-wine-grape-harvest-since-1945

Thanks to Glenn Cuthbert for this link
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Finland – Hardly any hope for the return of summer

Sat, 08/26/2017 - 17:49

Temperature across the country lower than usual – May see snow next week
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25 Aug 2017 – There is hardly any hope for the return of summer temperatures, said meteorologist Yle Tony Hellinen.

In Lapland, the temperature will drop to plus 5 degrees. This means that snow and wet snow are possible on the northern slopes.

“The temperature across the country is lower than usual,” says Hellinen. – As a rule, at this time of year the air warms up to plus 20 (68F) in the south and up to plus 10 (50F) – in the north of Suomi.

http://47news.ru/articles/125423/

Thanks to Argiris Diamantis for this link

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Freezing in norther Minnesota – In August

Fri, 08/25/2017 - 15:41

“These are record low temperatures for many areas that typically see average August lows around 50 degrees (10C) ,” reports Fox9.

Temperatures in northern Minnesota plunged to as low as 29°F (-1.67C) yesterday (Aug 24), according to the National Weather Service in Duluth.

Here are some of the readings:

13 NE Clear Lake: 29
Crane Lake Airport: 30
Embarrass: 30
5 E Seagull Lake: 30
5 NW Ash Lake: 32
Bruno: 32

See more low temps:
http://www.fox9.com/weather/275781204-story

Thanks to Stephen Bird for this link
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// < ![CDATA[

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August snowfall in Romania

Thu, 08/24/2017 - 20:57

Local mayor does not remember August snowfall in the area –  ever.

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On the night of Aug 22/23, snow fell on the Pietrosu peak in Northern Romania. The snow reached 3 centimeters and was visible from the town of Borşa, where temperatures dropped by 30 degrees Celsius in just a few days, according to Mediafax.

Sorin Timiş, the mayor of Borşa, told Mediafax that he did not remember ever to have snowed in the area during the month of August.

“The temperature on the mountain dropped to 0 degrees Celsius, and in Borşa to 6 degrees Celsius,” the mayor said. Only a few days before, the temperatures in town were at 36 degrees Celsius.

August snowfall in Northern Romania mountains

Thanks to Don Brown for this link

“Temperatures fell 30 degrees in two days, wow!” says Don

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Climate change is nothing new

Wed, 08/23/2017 - 16:56

Look at the Big Picture.
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Climate change is nothing new

By Ray Kraft

The climate has been changing all the time for hundreds of millions of years. There have been hundreds of cycles of global warming / cooling over the last 50 million years at approximate intervals of 100,000 years.

15,000 years ago the climate was 20 degrees colder than now, with so much glaciation that sea level was 400 feet lower than now. Then about 12,000 years ago global warming began, and by 1800 more than 99% of the glaciation had melted and sea level had risen 400 feet to its present level.

Climate change is nothing new. The climate has been changing, naturally, all the time, for hundreds of millions of years. Most of the last 500,000,000 years have been warmer than now, while some of the last 500,000,000 years have been 20 or 30 degrees colder than now.

See Wikipedia article:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paleoclimatology

See larger version of graph:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paleoclimatology#/media/File:All_palaeotemps.svg

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Note from Robert:
The above graph from Wikipedia brazenly shows temperatures rising precipitously from now through 2100. If you’ve read Not by Fire but by Ice, or have been following iceagenow.info, you know I think that is woefully wrong.

Look closely and you’ll see that temperatures have been zigzagging downward for 8,000 years. I expect that downward trend, that downward zigzag, to accelerate.

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Major snowfall hits South Africa

Tue, 08/22/2017 - 21:44

South Africa doing it’s best to survive the “almost-nuclear winter.” 

“A country-wide cold front.”

“And it isn’t just the moutainous regions that are enjoying a flurry: Parts of KZN, Eastern Cape and Free State are being covered by a wonderful white dusting.”

https://www.thesouthafrican.com/cold-snaps-major-snowfall-has-hit-south-africa-and-the-pictures-are-something-else/

Thanks to Stephen Bird for this link
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Warming might have occurred even with no industrial revolution

Tue, 08/22/2017 - 21:06

New paper suggests that recent warming has been totally natural.

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Dr Jennifer Marohasy and Dr John Abbot spent the last year researching and estimating how much global temperatures would have risen during the twentieth century in the absence of carbon dioxide emissions by humans.

After applying the latest big data technique to six 2,000-year-long proxy-temperature series, they were unable to confirm that recent global warming is anything but natural.

Indeed, they think the warming “might have occurred anyway, even if there was no industrial revolution.”

Although they found up to 1°C of warming from 1830 to 2000, their results also suggest “that even if there had been no industrial revolution and burning of fossil fuels, there would have still been warming through the twentieth century – to at least 1980.”

However, in light of Leo Tolstoys’s prediction (below), Dr Marohasy thinks their new technical paper in GeoResJ (vol. 14, pages 36-46) “will likely be ignored.”

The most difficult subjects can be explained to the most slow-witted man if he has not formed any idea of them already; but the simplest thing cannot be made clear to the most intelligent man if he is firmly persuaded that he already knows, without a shadow of a doubt, what is laid before him.” – Leo Tolstoy

The IPCC also estimates warming of approximately 1°C during that period, but claims it was all human caused.
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Dr Jennifer Marohasy is an Australian biologist, columnist and blogger. Dr Marohasy has a BSc and a PhD from the University of Queensland. She has published in science and law journals including Atmospheric Research, Advances in Atmospheric Research, Wetlands Ecology and Management, Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, Public Law Review and Environmental Law and Management.  

Dr John Abbot has been involved in research on kinetic and mechanistic behavior associated with complex chemical and physical systems since graduating with a degree in chemistry from Imperial College, London, and a PhD at McGill University.

https://www.spectator.com.au/2017/08/big-data-finds-the-medieval-warm-period-no-denial-here/

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Australia – Best snow conditions in years

Tue, 08/22/2017 - 17:32

See snow cams for various ski areas

Australia is having the best snow conditions in years, says reader.

http://ski.com.au/snowcams/australia/nsw/perisherblue/perisher-frontvalley.html

Thanks to Morgo for this link

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