question

What modulates our Sun? The majority of science work on the principle that the Sun is self modulating and each solar cycle is a product of a random number generator. There are others that suspect the Sun is modulated by the planets with a special emphasis on Uranus & Neptune. Thanks to Carl Smith who has recently left us we have new knowledge that significantly adds to Jose, Landscheidt & Charvàtovà's work.

Geoff Sharp

Feed aggregator

Ski resorts open in Europe

IceAgeNow - Fri, 10/20/2017 - 14:22

Not all ski resorts are open, certainly, but high-mountain resorts report significant snowfall.

In Austria, the routes are open on the Hintertux glacier, which already has 75 cm (30 inches) of snow. In Kaprun there is 100 cm (more than 3 ft) of snow.

In Switzerland, the slopes on Zermatt are covered with a 60-cm (2 ft) layer of snow. There is even more snow in Saas-Fee.

Some resorts in Italy are also open. The best conditions can be found in Passo Stelvio, with almost a meter and a half of snow and more than half of the trails are open.

In France, only Tignes is open so far, as there is only 20 cm of snow there.

http://www.meteo-tv.ru/news/Prirodnye-proisshestviya/Gornolyzhnye-kurorty-otkryvayut-sklony/

Thanks to Martin Siebert for this link

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Sea levels have been rising for 10,000 years

IceAgeNow - Thu, 10/19/2017 - 19:01

Last week I posted an article saying that, contrary to what the mainstream media may tell you, sea levels declined in 2016 and 2017. I received many snotty comments about that article, telling me that sea levels on average have been rising (presumably due to human activity), and accusing me of not looking at the bigger picture.

So okay, let’s look at that bigger picture. Sea levels have been rising for 10,000 years. Did humans cause all of that sea-level rise? I think not.

______________

Sea levels have been rising for 10,000 years

By Robert Felix

During the last ice age almost all of Canada, along with parts of Europe and Asia, were buried beneath one to two miles of ice. At the same time, sea levels stood 350 to 400 feet lower than today.

Sea levels were so low that the entire continental shelf, at least in eastern North America, was above water. Many states on the eastern seaboard were twice as big as today. New Jersey’s shoreline, for example, stood 60 to 100 miles east of its present location.

Same in the west.

The land between Alaska and Asia rose out of the sea like a bridge (or rather, the sea dropped away from the land), and the Bering Strait, which today is only 18 stories deep at its deepest point, was above water. Our ancestors could have walked to Siberia. (The word bridge is misleading, because the land connection between Alaska and Siberia was almost as wide as Alaska itself.)

Why were sea levels so low? Because that’s where the water came from to create those huge ice sheets. Literally millions of cubic miles of water had turned to ice.

Then, about 10,000 years ago, the ice began to melt and sea levels began to rise.

Here’s a sea-level graph from Nobel Laureate Ivar Giaever.

. . .

. . . 

Rising sea levels have been the norm

If you run the numbers (see below), you’ll find that sea levels have been rising an average of .42 to .48 inches (just under half-an-inch) per year for the past 10,000 years. Rising sea levels have been the norm, in other words, for 10,000 years.

And that brings us to today. What are sea levels doing right now?

Sea levels now rising slower than normal

According to NASA, sea levels are rising 3.4 mm (about 1/8th of an inch) per year. That’s about the thickness of a dime and a nickel stacked on top of one another. Not the diameter of the coins, but the thickness, In other words, sea levels are rising slower than normal.

Sea levels declined in 2010, 2011, 2016 and 2017

That doesn’t even take into account the fact that sea levels declined in 2010, 20112016 and 2017.

Yes, no matter how assiduously the media tries to ignore it, sea levels actually declined in four of the last eight years. Not much, maybe, but NASA’s own graphs show that it is true.

Where is the water going?

It’s being locked up on land as snow and ice. That’s how ice ages begin.

If we keep getting record snowfall as we have during the past few years, sea levels will begin falling and won’t begin rising again until the end of the next ice age.

This talk of unprecedented rising sea levels and catastrophic global warming is complete nonsense. It just simply is not true.

__________________

It’s not rocket science. Try it yourself. Multiply 400 by 12 and you get 4,800. That’s how many inches in 400 feet (how far sea levels have risen in the past 10,000 years). Now divide 4,800 by 10,000, and you get .48, just under ½ inch.

Just under half-an-inch. That’s how much sea levels have been rising on average per year for the past 10,000 years.

Today, sea levels are rising only 1/8 of an inch per year, LESS than normal.

And we’re supposed to throw billions, if not trillions, of dollars at it? We’re supposed to destroy our economies over a non-issue?
______________________________________________________________
Robert Felix is author of Not by Fire but by Ice, in which he maintains that the next ice age could begin any day.
See www.iceagenow.info

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The question is not about “Climate Change”

IceAgeNow - Thu, 10/19/2017 - 18:35

This is response to the article about Could questioning climate change become illegal.

______________

The question is not about “Climate Change”

By Kenneth Lund

The question is not about “Climate Change.” Anyone who denies that the Climate Changes probably does not even know their own name. The question should be, “Is man responsible for Climate Change?”, something the Left will never say.

They have equated “Climate Change” to “Man Made Climate Change”.

They have done the same thing to Immigration – being against Illegal Immigration equates to against Immigration.

Now they are trying to do what dictators do when all else fails  “Make it Illegal to disagree.”

That is not the definition of Science; that is the definition of Inquisition, and the truth is what the inquisitor wants to hear. North Korea is a fine example of what happens when you are not allowed by law to disagree.

In my life time, the Science of how oil was/is created has changed several times and is still being questioned. Even Gravity is being questioned.

Science is never “settled,” it is always questioning the FACTS.

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Thirty-one degrees below zero in Siberia

IceAgeNow - Thu, 10/19/2017 - 18:10

In Evenkia’s capital, Tura, the temperature dropped to -26°C in the morning. However, the lowest temperature in Russia over the past 24 hours, -31°C, was recorded at the weather station of Kerbo, located slightly south of Tura.

In Yakutia at the weather station Teplyj Klyuch, the temperature dropped to -28°C, and in Oymyakon in the morning it was only -17°C.

The temperature in Tompo city (Yakutia) dropped to -32,5°C. (http://www.ogimet.com)

It seems that it will be another year of the hottest ever in these regions.

http://hmn.ru/index.php?index=1&ts=171019110256

http://www.meteo-tv.ru/news/Kommentarii-sinoptika/Sibir-polyus-kholoda-Rossii/

Thanks to Martin Siebert for these links

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Will questioning climate change become illegal in Canada?

IceAgeNow - Thu, 10/19/2017 - 15:27

“There are ever increasing calls to jail those who hold dissenting views on climate science.” – Friends of Science Society

________________________________

“It’s bad enough that climate alarmists have actively sought to keep those who disagree with the “dangerous manmade climate change” thesis from publishing or speaking on the subject, or having a role in public policy decisions, it’s far worse when they seek to prosecute climate chaos skeptics,” says Paul Driessen. “Many organizations have been targeted in recent years by US state attorneys general and their environmentalist group allies.”

“Now, as Tom Harris writes, perversely named Ecojustice is trying to have a Canadian law enforcement agency prosecute the International Climate Science Coalition and other US and Canadian organizations for “misrepresenting the science” on climate change. This truly Orwellian “thoughtcrime” persecution and prosecution bodes ill for the most basic freedoms on which Canada and the United States were founded.”

________________________

Will questioning climate change become illegal in Canada?

Ecojustice wants government “cops” to investigate, punish and silence dissent

By Tom Harris

“BIG BROTHER IS WATCHING YOU.”

This slogan appeared on posters of the Party leader in the dystopian society of George Orwell’s novel Nineteen Eighty-Four. It was a constant reminder of omnipresent government surveillance for “thoughtcrime” – independent thinking.

In Orwell’s book, Ministry of Truth ‘history re-writer’ Winston Smith quietly rebelled against this oppression, starting a diary expressing forbidden thoughts. But government telescreens were everywhere. Watched constantly, Smith’s every move was monitored. In Nineteen Eighty-Four, the consequences of being caught were dire; the stress on individuals enormous.

As head of the International Climate Science Coalition (ICSC), I have been feeling a bit like Smith these days. That’s because ICSC has been under investigation by Canada’s Competition Bureau, an independent law enforcement agency that “has a legislated mandate to ensure Canadian consumers and businesses prosper in a competitive and innovative marketplace.”

Here’s what happened.

In December 2015, while in Paris attending counter conferences to the United Nations’ climate meetings, I learned that the environmental organization Ecojustice had registered a complaint with the Competition Bureau on behalf of six prominent Canadians against the ICSC, Friends of Science, and the Heartland Institute.

Ecojustice claimed we presented “climate science misrepresentations” which “promote the denier groups’ own business interests,” and “promote the business interests of deep-pocketed individuals and corporations that appear to fund the denier groups.”

Our own core principles – which summarize our position on climate science and which we provide on our website – were actually presented as evidence against us.

Two of our allies assembled a 37-page response to the attack in which they presented peer-reviewed research in support of our positions. They suggested I counterattack with this impressive rebuttal.

Others cautioned me to keep my powder dry since the complaint made no sense. We were simply exercising our rights under the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms to express our opinions. That is what science is all about – opinions of experts based on their interpretations of observations. And, especially in climate science, different experts have different opinions.

Further, the complainants had no idea who helps the ICSC financially. With the exception of the late Dr. Gerry G. Hatch, an Order of Canada recipient who openly supported us, the identities of our donors have been confidential since 2008. Some of our scientists have been harassed and even had death threats for contesting climate alarmism. We do not want to risk exposing our donors to such abuse.

So I did nothing, hoping the Competition Bureau would dismiss the complaint as unfounded.

Yet, five months later, it did launch an investigation, referencing a complaint that we make “representations to the public in promotion of a business interest that are false or misleading in a material respect regarding climate change.”

The Bureau warned us, “If the results of an investigation disclose evidence that, in the opinion of the Commissioner, provides the basis for a criminal prosecution, the matter may be referred to the Attorney General of Canada, who determines whether a prosecution should be undertaken.”

Although I asked the Bureau where they suspected the ICSC may have made false or misleading statements, it refused to say, citing Competition Act Subsection 10(3), which requires that inquiries be conducted privately.

Aside from a letter in November 2016 informing me that the investigation was “ongoing,” I heard essentially nothing until the beginning of July 2017 when I received a letter from the Bureau informing me:

“While the Commissioner has discontinued the inquiry, and no further steps are contemplated at this time, be advised that no binding determination has been made respecting the conduct of International Climate Science Coalition. The Commissioner continues to have discretion to investigate and take enforcement action in respect of matters previously inquired into, including where additional information is discovered following the discontinuance of an inquiry.”

The National Observer reported that they received an e-mail from a bureau spokesperson concerning this investigation, stating, “We invite Canadians who believe they may have additional information to contact the Competition Bureau.”

So, after nearly 14 months, the investigation is “discontinued” but revivable at the “discretion” of the Commissioner. Ecojustice criticized the Bureau for “walking away without finishing the job, and asserted: “Now is the time we need our cops on the climate beat to be stepping up.”

In their September 19th press release concerning the affair, Friends of Science stated, “democracy is at stake as there are ever increasing calls to jail those who hold dissenting views on climate science.”

Is this the Canada my father and grandfathers defended against tyranny?

Tom Harris is executive director of the Ottawa-based International Climate Science Coalition.

 

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Nine feet of snow for tops of the Cascade mountains

IceAgeNow - Wed, 10/18/2017 - 22:42

Huge ‘river in the sky’ headed for the Pacific Northwest.

The atmospheric river, some 5,000 miles long, could dump a whopping 9 feet (almost 3 meters) of snow on the tops of the Cascade mountains, according to the weather service.

As much as 15 inches of rain is forecast farther down the mountains, while several inches of rain could inundate those areas closer to sea level, including Portland and Seattle.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2017/10/18/5-000-mile-long-river-sky-deliver-heavy-rain-feet-snow-northwest/776060001/

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Beware the pronouncement ‘the science is settled’ – It’s the spirit of the Inquisition

IceAgeNow - Wed, 10/18/2017 - 19:59
Lights Out

For yonks they waged a war on coal
And painted miners black;
They threw explorers on the dole
And shut the gates outback.
. .
The land was closed to oil and gas
And nukes were always banned;
While wind and sun got all the brass
And uglified the land.
. .
Poles and turbines all in ranks
Sprouted on the hills;
The carbon credits pleased the banks
And households got the bills.
. .
Then all the factories fled offshore
As puny power flickered;
More jobs were lost for evermore
As politicians dickered.
. .
Then one still night the lights went out
And blackouts stalked the land;
The pollies quickly turned about
And Greens were spurned and banned.
. .


.

Beware the pronouncement, “the science is settled”.
It’s the spirit of the Inquisition. – Tony Abbott

“Daring to Doubt”
by Tony Abbott:

“Climate change is by no means the sole or even the most significant symptom of the changing interests and values of the West. Still, only societies with high levels of cultural amnesia could have made such a religion out of it. Beware the pronouncement, “the science is settled”. It’s the spirit of the Inquisition, the thought-police down the ages. Almost as bad is the claim that “99 per cent of scientists believe” as if scientific truth is determined by votes rather than facts.”
–Tony Abbott, 2017 Annual GWPF Lecture, London 9 October 2017

https://www.thegwpf.org/tony-abbott-daring-to-doubt

http://joannenova.com.au/2017/10/dangerous-abbott-unleashed-speaks-the-truth-critics-froth -and-flounder/

 ……………………………………..

 “Escaping the Renewable Energy Trap”
by Alan Moran:
https://www.spectator.com.au/2017/09/escaping-the-renewable-energy-subsidy-trap/

……………………………………..
“The Paris Agreement”
by President Donald Trump
What he really said.

https://www.thegwpf.com/reminder-what-president-trump-really-said-about-the-paris-agreement/


Serious Defects in Australia’s Energy Policies

A group of retired senior engineers challenge Australia’s bi-partisan energy foolishness. See:
https://carbon-sense.com/2017/10/13/open-letter-to-the-prime-minister-of-australia/

……………………………………..

Thanks to Viv Forbes and Hans Schreuder for these links
Thanks to Steve Hunter for permission to use his cartoons

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New Zealand potato crops devastated – The Guardian blames ‘climate change’

IceAgeNow - Tue, 10/17/2017 - 17:34

A year of heavy rains has devastated New Zealand’s potatoes, destroying one-third of the crop in some areas, The Guardian. reports. I blame the sunspot cycle.

The Guardian begins its story by making light of the crisis, calling it a ‘chipocalypse’, a ‘potatogeddon.’

But with rainfall having wiped out up to a third of New Zealand’s annual potato crop in some areas, this could be more serious than anyone realizes.

Last year’s crops either rotted in the ground due to the heavy rains or remained unharvested because of the torrential downpours caused by “climate change,” says The Guardian.

Now next year’s crop is also at risk, because the ground is too wet for planting.

“Potato farmers have been severely impacted,” said Chris Claridge, chief executive of Potatoes New Zealand.  “If they can’t harvest and process, they are not getting their income so there is that monetary impact. It is also quite distressing to be digging up rotting potatoes.”

Was this crisis caused by “climate change” as The Guardian asserts?

Not if “climate change” means it was caused by humans.

Instead, I think we’re headed into a little ice age, triggered by the sunspot cycle.

Right now, we are going through a period of low sunspot activity similar to the Dalton Minimum.

The Dalton Minimum, a period of low solar activity named after English meteorologist John Dalton, lasted from about 1790 to 1830. It, too, was a time of devastating crop failures.

Remember the Irish Potato Famine? That’s when potato blight, which is most common in wet weather, destroyed at least one-third of the potato crop across Ireland. The potatoes turned into inedible soggy, foul-smelling masses.

During the ensuing famine, about one million people died of starvation and a million more emigrated from Ireland. (My great grandparents on my mother’s side were two of the lucky ones: They emigrated to Canada.)

The worst of the “Great Famine” took place from about 1845 to 1852. However, what is often not noted is that conditions for famine had been in the making for years and were exacerbated during the Dalton Minimum.

According to Wikipedia, the potato crop failed in two Irish counties in 1821 and 1822, then in three other counties in 1830 and 1831. Dry rot and curl caused serious losses in 1832, 1833, 1834, and 1836, and in 1835 the potato crop failed in Ulster. Widespread crop failures throughout Ireland occurred in 1836, 1837, 1839, 1841, and 1844. 

Let’s hope upon hope that we never face such a crisis again. Let’s hope that my fears of fighting in the streets for food never come to pass.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/oct/16/chipocalypse-potato-shortage-in-new-zealand-sparks-crisp-crisis

Thanks to David Grissim for this link

 

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Hydrogen-Powered Cars – A Pipedream

IceAgeNow - Mon, 10/16/2017 - 19:58

If you’ve been lead to believe that the touted “green technologies” will save both the planet and your wallet, you will want to read this.

Hydrogen-Powered Cars – A Pipedream

By Dr. Klaus LE. Kaiser

The Hydrogen Pipedream

“Especially amusing or annoying (mostly the latter) are claims about elemental hydrogen as energy carrier of the future. It’s the same nonsense which you could see in TV commercials and read in the
newspapers twenty years ago. At that time we were told that hydrogen-powered cars were to be in car dealers’ showrooms by 2001, “ready to drive away.” Now, many years later, the hype is still the same and nothing has changed, except for the “green alliances” for “sustainable future technologies” between some car manufacturers and the new date when it is all supposed to come together, formerly predicted for 2017. “

Elemental Hydrogen Properties

  1. Liquid Hydrogen

The properties of elemental hydrogen are extreme. In liquid form it can only exist at temperatures below MINUS 250 C (MINUS 415 F), which is not far above the absolute ZERO temperature (MINUS 273 C). Except for helium, no other material exists in either liquid or gaseous form at the temperature; even oxygen and nitrogen are rock hard solids then.

Therefore, any idea of using liquid hydrogen as common energy carrier in automobiles is out of the question. It would rapidly evaporate even with the best thermal insulating materials around any tank and lines.

  1. Compressed Hydrogen

Above its triple point, which is MINUS 250 C for hydrogen, any material can only exist as gas. That means that in order to use elemental hydrogen as a common energy carrier it would have to be strongly compressed and transported in thick-walled steel cylinders. Even at an extremely high pressure of 20,000 psi (or 700 Bar, comparable to deep parts of the ocean), the volume of a typical automobile gasoline tank would only contain a few pounds of hydrogen.

Therefore, compressed hydrogen gas is no viable option either. To begin with, the energy requirement for compression is quite large. Then, because of the small size of the hydrogen molecule, it is able to migrate through many solid materials, even steel. Under pressure, it also reacts with the small amount of carbon in common steel which makes that brittle and unsafe. But that is not all that argues against the use of hydrogen as energy carrier.

  1. Flammability

Probably the most serious argument against the common use of hydrogen is the fact that it has the largest known flammability range of any gas in mixture with air. Between five and 95% hydrogen in any mixture with air will explode with the slightest spark or on contact with a hot surface.

Can anyone seriously expect that of the millions of cars on the road (potentially with either liquid or compressed hydrogen as fuel) none would ever develop any fuel leak that would lead to powerful explosions?

Hydrogen Compounds

We actually use a lot of hydrogen for fuel, however, not in elemental form but as chemical compounds with carbon, summarily called hydrocarbons. These hydrocarbons are termed gasoline and diesel fuel. They are liquids at common temperatures and quite easy to handle. You can pour them from one container into another without problems and they have been around for a more than a century. Very simply, hydrocarbons are the energy carrier of choice.

Gasoline or diesel fuel is not only quite safe and easy to handle, it also carries a lot of punch. For example, any volume of it contains more bound hydrogen than you could possibly have in the same volume of liquid or compressed elemental hydrogen. In gasoline or diesel, the bound hydrogen has a slightly lower energy availability than in elemental form, but that small disadvantage is negligible compared to all the disadvantages of hydrogen in the elemental (pure) form.

Summary

As long as bureaucrats and politicians are willing to spend your tax dollars on the (elemental) hydrogen-as-fuel idea, you can’t blame the car manufacturers for making all kinds of promises.

The fact is and will remain: Elemental hydrogen as energy carrier for cars is a pipedream.

_________________________________________________

Dr. Klaus L.E. Kaiser is a professional scientist with a Ph.D. in chemistry from the Technical University, Munich, Germany. He has worked as a research scientist and project chief at Environment Canada‘s Canada Centre for Inland Waters for over 30 years and is currently Director of Research at TerraBase Inc. He is author of nearly 300 publications in scientific journals, government and agency reports, books, computer programs, trade magazines, and newspaper articles.

Dr. Kaiser has been president of the International Association for Great Lakes Research, a peer reviewer of numerous scientific papers for several journals, Editor-in-Chief of the Water Quality Research Journal of Canada for nearly a decade, and an adjunct professor. He has contributed to a variety of scientific projects and reports and has made many presentations at national and international conferences.

Dr. Kaiser is author of CONVENIENT MYTHS, the green revolution – perceptions, politics, and facts
convenientmyths.com

Dr. Kaiser can be reached at: mail@convenientmyths.com

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December-like chill in Japan

IceAgeNow - Mon, 10/16/2017 - 19:38

On the morning of Oct. 16, central Tokyo recorded a low of 12.4 degrees, about 2 degrees below average for this time of year.

Other cities experiencing colder than normal temperatures were: Sapporo with 4.2 degrees, Sendai with 8.6, Niigata with 10, Yokohama with 13, Shizuoka with 14.9, Osaka with 14.7 and Kobe with 15.2.

That doesn’t sound all that cold. However, the Japan Meteorological Agency said that current conditions are equivalent to the early December chill.

http://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/AJ201710160014.html

Thanks to Norm Smith for this link

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La Palma volcano – Hundreds of earthquakes in 15 hours

IceAgeNow - Mon, 10/16/2017 - 15:04

Raises fears the Canary Island’s volcano is about to erupt.

Experts believe the total number of earthquakes within the seismic storm, including ones too small to be located, numbered 352.

The swarm raises fears (for some) that during an eruption parts of the island would collapse into the sea and spark a mega-tsunami to hit both Britain and America.

Others disagree.

“It is absolutely normal for active volcanoes to register seismic swarms such as the one that this weekend has been recorded in the Cumbre Vieja volcano,” said Director of the Canarian Institute of Volcanology Nemesio Pérez

However, he added it could not ruled out an eruption would take place.

http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/866995/La-Palma-volcano-Canary-Islands-earthquake-warning-map-latest-Cumbre-Vieja

Thanks to Stephen Bird for this link

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Hole the size of Maine opens in Antarctic sea ice – Video

IceAgeNow - Mon, 10/16/2017 - 13:50

An “ocean chimney” the size of Tasmania is pumping huge amounts of heat into the atmosphere. Headlines call the hole “mysterious,” but it doesn’t seem all that mysterious to me. I think the heat is coming from underwater volcanic activity.

A huge hole – roughly 30,000 square miles or the size of the state of Maine – has been spotted in sea ice near Antarctica. Australian media notes that the hole, roughly 80,000 square kilometers, is the size of Tasmania.
.

The humongous hole, known as a polynya, was detected about a month ago.

Oceanologist Laura de Steur  – Photo credit Eline Nystedt / Norwegian Polar Institute

“We do not know why it appears right now,” says oceanologist Laura de Steur at the Norwegian Polar Institute.

The hole in the ice has emerged unusually far from the mainland, so far away that it would not have been discovered without satellite imagery, said de Steur.

“The hole is also different because there are no winds, but ocean currents that have formed it,” de Laure explains. This hole is formed by hot underwater currents that drive surface when it hits a large mountain in the ocean.

“With this hole we can test our climate models. It can also give us new information about what kind of natural climate variations happen in a period of 30-40 years, “says Steur.

It’s the largest polynya seen in the Weddell Sea since the 1970s, scientists say.

Polynyas, defined as a stretch of open water surrounded by ice, are frequently found in the Arctic and Antarctica, usually near the coast. But they rarely reach the size of this one located in middle of the pack ice.

Pumping heat into the atmosphere

The polynya works like “a chimney from the ocean through the sea ice”, transferring huge amounts of energy to the atmosphere, said Dr. Jan Lieser, a sea ice scientist at the University of Tasmania.

The polynya is releasing about 800 watts of energy per square meter – equivalent to about fourteen 60-watt light bulbs blazing away day and night, said Dr. Kent Moore, a professor of physics at the University of Toronto.

Headlines are calling the hole “mysterious,” but it doesn’t seem all that mysterious to me. I think those “hot underwater currents” are coming from underwater volcanic activity.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/science/2017/10/13/huge-mysterious-hole-appears-sea-ice-near-antarctica/762344001/

https://www.nrk.no/urix/uvanlig-hull-i-isen-har-kommet-tilbake-i-sorishavet-1.13728678

http://www.smh.com.au/environment/return-of-ocean-chimney-the-size-of-tasmania-puzzles-antarctic-scientists-20171011-gyz9z1.html

https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/wjx9w4/a-giant-mysterious-hole-has-opened-up-in-antarctica
Thanks to Nick W., Flemming Kjemtrup Sørensen and Hildo Mellema in The Netherlands for these links

“I’m interested to know if this is one of your underwater volcanoes.” says Nick.

“This time Norwegian MSM doesn’t automatically blame humans but mentions natural variations,” says Flemming. “Could it be caused by underwater volcanoes?”

“Could it be the result of volcanic activity?” asks Hildo.

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The Obama EPA’s crooked prosecutors

IceAgeNow - Sun, 10/15/2017 - 16:24

“Seas are rising at just seven inches per century, the same as 100 years ago.” – Paul Driessen

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“Having set the stage for repealing Obama era Clean Power Plan, EPA Administrator Scott Pruitt should now engage the scientific review to reverse the “Endangerment Finding” that was its foundation,” says Paul Driessen. “That finding used what can best be described as a kangaroo court process to convict carbon dioxide of causing dangerous manmade climate change and thereby endangering the health and welfare of American citizens. The action put the EPA in control of America’s energy, economy, job creation and living standards. It drove up energy prices, cost numerous jobs, and sent families into energy poverty.”

“In reality, carbon dioxide plays a minimal role in climate change – but is the plant-fertilizing miracle molecule that makes life on Earth possible. More atmospheric CO2 makes all plants grow faster and better, even under drought conditions. EPA ignored these incalculable benefits and the equally enormous benefits of fossil fuel energy, tilting the review process to ensure the outcome it needed to justify its war on coal and other draconian regulations.”

“This article provides some of the unsavory details.”

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The Obama EPA’s crooked prosecutors

The agency’s carbon dioxide climate “endangerment finding” was a kangaroo court process

By Paul Driessen

Suppose a crooked prosecutor framed someone and was determined to get a conviction. So he built an entire case on tainted, circumstantial evidence, and testimony from witnesses who had their reasons for wanting the guy in jail. Suppose the prosecutor ignored or hid exculpatory evidence and colluded with the judge to prevent the defendant from presenting a robust defense or cross-examining adverse witnesses.

You know what would happen – at least in a fair and just society. The victim would be exonerated and compensated. The prosecutor and judge would be disbarred, fined and jailed.

What you may not know is that the Obama EPA engaged in similar prosecutorial misconduct to convict fossil fuels of causing climate chaos and endangering the health and wellbeing of Americans.

EPA then used its carbon dioxide “Endangerment Finding” to justify anti-fossil fuel regulations, close down coal-fired power plants, block pipeline construction, and exempt wind and solar installations from endangered species rules. It put the agency in control of America’s energy, economy, job creation and living standards. It drove up energy prices, killed numerous jobs, and sent families into energy poverty.

EPA’s egregious misconduct inflicted significant harm on our nation. Having acted to repeal the Obama Clean Power Plan, EPA Administrator Scott Pruitt must reverse carbon dioxide’s conviction and scuttle the Endangerment Finding that serves as the foundation and justification for the agency’s war on coal, oil and natural gas. Any harm from fossil fuels or carbon dioxide is minuscule, compared to the extensive damages inflicted by the decision and subsequent regulations.

President Obama and EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson took office determined to blame carbon dioxide for “dangerous” and “unprecedented” manmade global warming and climate change. They then used that preordained decision to justify closing coal-fired power plants and dramatically restricting fossil fuel use. Mr. Obama had promised to “bankrupt” coal companies. Ms. Browner wasted no time in decreeing that CO2 from oil, natural gas coal burning “endanger” human health and welfare. It was a kangaroo court.

Their Environmental Protection Agency did no research of its own. It simply cherry-picked UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports and wrote a Technical Support Document to make its case. The TSD ignored studies that contradicted its predetermined Endangerment Finding – and relied on circumstantial evidence of climate and extreme weather disasters generated by computer models.

The models were programmed on the assumption that rising atmospheric CO2 levels are the primary or sole factor determining climate and weather. They assumed more carbon dioxide meant more planetary warming and worsening climate chaos. The role of the sun, cosmic rays, changing ocean currents and numerous other powerful, interconnected natural forces throughout Earth’s history was simply ignored.

The models predicted steadily increasing global temperatures and more frequent and intense storms. Instead, even as atmospheric carbon dioxide levels continued to rise, except for a noticeable temperature spike during the 2015-2016 super El Niño, there has been no planetary warming since 1998. Harvey finally ended a record 12-year drought in Category 3-5 hurricanes making landfall in the USA.

Seas are rising at just seven inches per century, the same as 100 years ago

Tornado deaths are far less frequent than in the 1950s. Floods and droughts differ little from historic trends and cycles. Antarctic land ice is at record highs, and Arctic sea ice is again within its “normal” levels for the past 50 years. Seas are rising at just seven inches per century, the same as 100 years ago.

The models also assumed more warming meant more clouds that trapped more heat. They ignored the fact that low-lying clouds trap heat but also reflect solar heat back into the atmosphere. Humans might be “contributing” to temperature, climate and weather events, at least locally. But there is no real-world evidence that “greenhouse gases” have replaced natural forces to cause climate chaos or extreme weather – and no evidence that humans can control Earth’s fickle climate by controlling emissions.

In fact, with every passing year, climate model temperature forecasts have been increasingly higher than those actually observed over most of the lower atmosphere.

If reality conflicts with the models, reality must be wrong

The EPA approach amounted to saying, if reality conflicts with the models, reality must be wrong – or to deciding that real world evidence should be homogenized, adjusted and manipulated to fit model results.

Indeed, that’s exactly what EPA, the IPCC and other alarmist researchers have done. Older historic records were adjusted downward, modern records got bumped upward a bit, and government-paid scientists ignored satellite data and relied increasingly on measurements recorded near (and contaminated by) airport jet exhaust, blacktop parking lots, and urban areas warmed by cars, heating and AC vents.

The IPCC also claimed its referenced studies were all peer-reviewed by experts. In reality, at least 30% were not; many were prepared by graduate students or activist groups; and some of its most attention-getting claims (of rapidly melting Himalayan glaciers, for example) were nothing more than brief email messages noting that these were “possible” outcomes. Moreover, most IPCC peer reviewers were scientists who fervently promote catastrophic manmade climate change perspectives, receive government and other grants for writing reports confirming this thesis, and take turns reviewing one another’s papers.

Dissenters ridiculed, vilified and silenced

Despite these inconvenient facts, a steady barrage of Obama EPA press releases and statements from alarmist regulators and “experts” insisted that fossil fuels were causing planetary cataclysms. Anyone who tried to present alternative, realistic data or views was ridiculed, vilified and silenced.

Even one of EPA’s most senior experts was summarily removed from the review team.  “Your comments do not help the legal or policy case for this decision,” Alan Carlin’s supervisor told him.

Two additional facts dramatically underscore the kangaroo court nature of EPA’s 2009 proceedings.

First, oil, natural gas and coal still provide over 80% of America’s and the world’s energy. The International Energy Agency says they will be at least this important 25 years from now. Indeed, fossil fuels are the foundation for modern industries, transportation, communication, jobs, health and living standards. Emerging economic powerhouses like China and India, developing countries the world over, and even industrialized nations like Germany and Poland are using more of these fuels every year.

The Obama EPA studiously ignored these facts – and the tremendous benefits that fossil fuels bring to every aspect of our lives. Those benefits outweigh any asserted dangers – by orders of magnitude.

Carbon dioxide is not a pollutant

Second, carbon dioxide is not a pollutant, as defined by the Clean Air Act – and was never listed in any legislation as a pollutant. It was turned into an alleged pollutant by dishonest, ideological EPA prosecutors, who needed to justify their anti-fossil fuel regulatory agenda.

In reality, carbon dioxide is the miracle molecule without which most life on Earth would cease to exist. It enables plants of all kinds to convert soil nutrients and water into the fibers, fruits and seeds that are essential to humans and animals. The more CO2 in the air, the faster and better plants grow, and the more they are able to withstand droughts, disease, and damage from insects and viruses. In the process, crop, forest and grassland plants, and ocean and freshwater phytoplankton, exhale the oxygen we breathe.

In rendering its endangerment decision, EPA ignored these incalculable CO2 benefits. It ignored experts and studies that would have provided vital information about the tremendous value to our planet and people from fossil fuels and carbon dioxide.

colder planet, with less carbon dioxide, would be seriously harmful

Finally, having a slightly warmer planet with more atmospheric CO2 would be hugely beneficial for plants, wildlife and humanity. By contrast, having a colder planet, with less carbon dioxide, would be seriously harmful for arable land extent, growing seasons, crops, people and wildlife habitats.

The EPA Endangerment Finding is the foundation for the Obama era Clean Power Plan and other rules. Reversing it is essential to moving forward with science-based energy and climate policies.

Paul Driessen is senior policy analyst for the Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow (www.CFACT.org), and author of Eco-Imperialism: Green power – Black death and other books on public policy.

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Goodbye to Gasoline…

IceAgeNow - Sat, 10/14/2017 - 18:29

What would use more energy for the work of pulling a wagon for 1000 miles across the same landscape: an old mule or a modern electric vehicle?

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Goodbye to Gasoline…

By Dr. Klaus L.E. Kaiser

Have you seen headlines like “Say Goodbye to Oil, Gas, & Solar…,” or “The new Gasoline,” courtesy of Goldman-Sachs (http://www.snopes.com/new-superfuel/), or “Holy Grail of Fuels Found,” and other salivations about “alternative” new energy sources?

Such posts typically come with claims like “… 1,693X more powerful than gasoline …” or “it could power your car for over 50 years on one tank…  and it “could make OPEC completely obsolete.”

They all sound as if there is (are) new type(s) of energy SOURCES, that could provide near limitless energy, presumably also at next to no cost. Claims and promises of an energy-Nirvana, right here on earth, ready to exploit next week or soon thereafter?

Does any of that sound familiar?

After all, it’s fall and the countryside fall fairs are in full swing. Plenty of food, entertainment for the children, artful exhibits of local produce, dog and pony shows, etc.

Compared to the former times of (folk)lore, snake-oil salesmen are gone for good. They have been replaced by slick internet sale pitches, downloadable on your smart phone or whatever.  And such links to great fortunes-to-be-had are coming in faster than the fresh buns from the nearby bakery.

For sure, we are stocking up the root cellar with this year’s harvests, turning off and draining the water from outside taps and performing other “winterizing” duties. Some people say the coming winter or, perhaps, even winters are going to be “uncomfortable” or so. Well, the last one wasn’t too bad, except it lasted until May and this summer was rather cool and certainly more wet than usual. By my rain gauge, the amount of precipitation since April was about three times the norm of the last 30 years.

Now, let’s come back to the “new gasoline,” i.e., the wonder fuel that is supposed to power everything, henceforth and in near-perpetuity. Actually, it’s no energy source at all, rather an energy carrier!

You may ask, what’s the difference? The short answer is: “Fundamental, my dear Watson.”

Energy and Energy Sources

A fuel is something you use to drive your car’s engine, heat your home, turn into electric power, or send a rocket to the moon. In simple terms, the fuel is something that contains a lot of energy that one can harness and use in various ways, for example by controlled combustion. A true energy source provides more energy on combustion than is required to obtain it.

Yes, modern technology can make synthetic fuels, for example from limestone and water, or other materials by using LOTS OF ENERGY.

That’s the point! The energy contained in synthetic fuels (or stored in a battery) is only a fraction of that spent to create the fuel or energy in the battery. And you certainly cannot have more energy in the product than you consumed or converted to create the product.

Carbon-based natural fuels, i.e., coal, bitumen, crude oil, natural gas, or peat have been used by people for millennia to heat their homes in winter. With the advent of combustion engines, various fractions of crude oil, like diesel, kerosene, and gasoline were developed to be used in engines that propel our cars, ships, airplanes, lawn mowers and other implements. The large-scale extraction of the bountiful fossil fuel resources on earth has propelled mankind from the stone-age into modernity.

Reading or listening to news from many different sources and media, I’m frequently incensed about the apparent lack of understanding of the difference between energy (content) and power.

Power vs. Energy

Your ”engine” (e.g. horse or car) pulling your soap box or Conestoga wagon from the bottom of a hill to its top needs a certain amount of ENERGY for that work. The horse may get that energy from some oats, a car from fuel in the tank or energy previously stored in a battery. However, on the hilltop, the soap box has the same energy potential, regardless of how it got there.

In order to accelerate a certain weight (e.g. car) to a certain speed on a given course, one needs a certain amount of energy. Whether that amount of energy is provided by a “one-horse-team” or a 1,000-HP engine is irrelevant. Both “engines” require the same amount of energy!

Now, when it comes to POWER, a high-power engine will certainly accelerate you faster than the old mule. Still, the amount of energy needed to achieve a certain speed is the same.

Power is commonly measured in units of “horse-power” (HP), i.e. the power available from your “standard” horse, or in Joule (J), or in Watt (W).

In contrast, energy is measured in units of “power-times-time,” like Watt-hours (widely used units are “kWh” [meaning 1,000 Wh]), or “horse-power-days” (just kidding, though in principle they are realistic units), or other energy terms. What’s absolutely critical here is the length of time during which a certain power is exerted.

If that explanation is still unclear, let me ask a simple question, it involves an old mule (value $500) and a brand new fancy electric vehicle (value $100,000):

Mule vs. e-Car

What would use more energy for the work of pulling a wagon for 1000 miles across the same landscape: an old mule or a modern electric vehicle?

While the mule may be a bit slower than the e-car (unless its batteries run out of usable stored energy and the car gets stuck on the ground), the energy requirement is identical. Both the initial acceleration and top speed of either are irrelevant in that. Assuming equal efficiencies of the two “engines,” the question then is only whether or not the energy requirement varies — it does not. Of course, if the engine efficiencies are not equal, a mule may actually be the better choice.

So, when you get another “xx-horse-power-engine,” think about that.

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Dr. Klaus L.E. Kaiser is a professional scientist with a Ph.D. in chemistry from the Technical University, Munich, Germany. He has worked as a research scientist and project chief at Environment Canada‘s Canada Centre for Inland Waters for over 30 years and is currently Director of Research at TerraBase Inc. He is author of nearly 300 publications in scientific journals, government and agency reports, books, computer programs, trade magazines, and newspaper articles.

Dr. Kaiser has been president of the International Association for Great Lakes Research, a peer reviewer of numerous scientific papers for several journals, Editor-in-Chief of the Water Quality Research Journal of Canada for nearly a decade, and an adjunct professor. He has contributed to a variety of scientific projects and reports and has made many presentations at national and international conferences.

Dr. Kaiser is author of CONVENIENT MYTHS, the green revolution – perceptions, politics, and facts
convenientmyths.com

Dr. Kaiser can be reached at: mail@convenientmyths.com

 

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China – Heavy snowfall at least a month early

IceAgeNow - Sat, 10/14/2017 - 15:43

Trees collapse under the weight of the snow – Up to 35 cm (more than a foot) of snow in places.

14 Oct 2017: In China ahead of time the snow fell, paralyzing traffic in cities.
Road traffic is paralyzed in cities

In Qatahai and Gansu provinces, the snow fell at least a month ahead of time, for which the city was completely unprepared, CCTV reported.

The video (link below), prepared by Chinese television, shows that because of the bad weather in the cities, large snowdrifts formed, tree branches broke under the weight of wet snow, which, in turn, caused damage to cars. Traffic also suffered as many kilometers (miles) of traffic jams formed on the roads.

The inconvenient sharp change in the weather forced local farmers to accelerate harvesting.

See video:
https://newsyou.info/v-kitae-ranshe-sroka-vypal-sneg-video
https://newsyou.info/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/20171013183556.jpg

Thanks to Argiris Diamantis for these links

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Unseasonable Cold Brings Snow to Beijing’s Mountains

IceAgeNow - Sat, 10/14/2017 - 08:58

11 Oct 2017 – The Beijing Post didn’t expect snow in the capital this early in the season. But snow it did in some mountainous and suburban areas of Beijing on Tuesday.

A cold front swept over northern China on Sunday causing a 10 degree temperature drop in some areas of the capital.

With temperatures as low as 3 degrees, Lingshan Mountain reported snowfall, as did the mountainous areas of Yanqing and Fangshan districts.

Six centimeters of snow were also reported on Xiaohaituo Mountain, where the 2022 Winter Olympics will be located.

https://www.thatsmags.com/beijing/post/20877/unseasonably-cold-weather-brings-snow-to-beijing-s-mountains

Thanks to Argiris Diamantis for this link

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Unusually thick ice in Antarctica – Thousands of penguin chicks starve

IceAgeNow - Fri, 10/13/2017 - 20:59

36,000 penguins, and only two chicks survived_________________

12 Oct 2017 – Scientists tracking 18,000 pairs of Adelie penguins in East Antarctica discovered that only two chicks survived the most recent breeding season.

Unusually thick sea ice forced the adult penguins to travel further for food. The unfortunate chicks starved to death as they waited for their parents to return.

Conservationists call it a “catastrophic breeding failure”.

This is the second such failure in four years caused by heavy sea ice.

At that time, although the same colony numbered 20,196 pairs at the time, it failed to produce a single chick.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/thousands-penguin-chicks-starve-antarctica-043725803.html

Thanks to Vance von Raab and Jack Hydrazine for this link

 

 

Four years ago, the same colony,

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Record snow and ice accumulation on Greenland

IceAgeNow - Thu, 10/12/2017 - 16:52

The idea of falling sea levels across the planet makes sense given last season’s record snow and ice accumulation on Greenland, says reader.

Here’s a graph from the Danish Meteorological Institute showing last year’s ice growth.

Trouble is, that this year’s ice growth is surpassing last year’s growth (2nd graph)

Blue line shows 2016-17 ice growth.

Greenland ice growth as of 12 Oct 2017 (below)

Greenland ice growth as of 12 Oct 2017

Graphs from the Danish Meteorological Institute
http://beta.dmi.dk/uploads/tx_dmidatastore/webservice/b/m/s/d/e/accumulatedsmb.png

Thanks to scsi_joe for this link

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NASA confirms – Sea levels FALLING across the planet

IceAgeNow - Thu, 10/12/2017 - 14:07

This is NASA’s own graph. Look at 2016 and 2017.

Sea levels are FALLING.

Where is that water going? It is being locked up on land as snow and ice.

See:
https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/sea-level/

Thanks to Casper for this link

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Cold spring in the homeland of the Pope

IceAgeNow - Thu, 10/12/2017 - 13:47

Argentina – “La Jaula is cut off by 20 centimeters (8 inches) of snow,” the mayor of San Carlos announced.

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Argentina, Mendoza region: Forecasting 15 cm of snow in Las Pareditas.

He also reported that route 143 between San Carlos and Divisaderos, is cut for the same reason.

10/12/2017
The mayor of San Carlos, Jorge Difonso tweeted photographs showing different routes and the consequences of the snowfall occurred in those areas.

He also warned that route 143 is impassable between San Carlos and Divisadero because of the snow.
“La Jaula is cut off by 20 centimeters (8 inches) of snow,” he announced.

http://jornadaonline.com/mendoza/182637-advierten-quince-centimetros-de-nieve-en-las-pareditas
http://jornadaonline.com/fotos/archivo/ruta-40-pareditas.jpg

Thanks to Argiris Diamantis for this link

“Pretty cold spring in the homeland of the Pope, but the MSM keeps quiet about this news,” says Argiris.

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